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Maxime Janvier vs Daniel Masur — Prediction

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Maxime Janvier

France

41.07%

Daniel Masur

Germany

58.93%

Average Odds

2.38  /  1.53

Market probability

39.13%  /  60.87%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Masur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1617 vs 1528), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1620 vs 1578) and fewer double faults per game (0.14 vs 0.17).

Player Comparison

1527.6 Elo 1617.2
1578.1 Elo (surface) 1620.4
243 Wins (Challenger) 220
139 Wins (surface) 139
8 Last 15 form 9
3 Head-to-head wins 0
0.893 Dominance ratio 1.034
620 Rank 406
29.9 Age 31.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Daniel Masur

1st Serve In %

64.0%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%
70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%
44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%
26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%
47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%
43.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%
65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%
47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%
27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%
40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Janvier Daniel Masur

Break Points Saved %

58.3%
64.9%

Break Points Converted %

29.4%
40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.8%
58.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%
30.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxime Janvier 3 – 0 Daniel Masur

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Daniel Masur #406

Maxime Janvier #620

6-2 7-6
5 Aces 10
6 Double Faults 5
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
35 First Serve Won 31
14 Second Serve Won 14
10 Break Points Saved 4
14 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.4
Hard Quimper 2 CH · 2021-01-31

R16

Maxime Janvier #212

Daniel Masur #246

7-6(6) 6-2
7 Aces 7
2 Double Faults 1
60 Service Points 75
36 First Serve In 49
29 First Serve Won 30
15 Second Serve Won 14
2 Break Points Saved 6
3 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Quimper CH · 2020-01-27

R16

Maxime Janvier #201

Daniel Masur #254

6-4 6-3
8 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 3
70 Service Points 52
45 First Serve In 33
30 First Serve Won 20
16 Second Serve Won 10
8 Break Points Saved 3
9 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Tunis CH · 2018-04-16

Q3

Maxime Janvier #285

Daniel Masur #404

7-6(3) 6-4
4 Aces 5
2 Double Faults 6
69 Service Points 87
38 First Serve In 56
24 First Serve Won 37
16 Second Serve Won 9
4 Break Points Saved 6
8 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Maxime Janvier — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L W

Daniel Masur — Last 10

W W W L W W L W W W