ATP tennis predict — Maxime Chazal vs Yanaki Milev

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Maxime Chazal

France

23.14%

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

76.86%

Average Odds

2.03 / 1.72

Market probability

45.87% / 54.13%

Why This Prediction?

Yanaki Milev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1656 vs 1472), a higher Elo rating (1660 vs 1492) and more wins on clay courts (2 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1492.4 Elo 1659.9

1471.7 Elo (surface) 1655.7

64 Wins (Challenger) 26

53 Wins (surface) 25

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.148 Dominance ratio 1.019

427 Rank 619

33.5 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxime Chazal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Chazal Yanaki Milev

1st Serve In %

58.5%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%

63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

51.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

14.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

62.3%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxime Chazal Yanaki Milev

Break Points Saved %

54.7%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

31.1%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

64.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxime Chazal and Yanaki Milev have never played each other.

Maxime Chazal vs Yanaki Milev — Prediction