ATP tennis predict — Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Maxim Zhukov

Russia

50.81%

Thijmen Loof

Netherlands

49.19%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.16

Market probability

56.99% / 43.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1399.2 Elo 1361.1

1390.8 Elo (surface) 1401.3

16 Wins (Challenger) 4

16 Wins (surface) 3

5 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.812 Dominance ratio 0.983

544 Rank 1522

21.6 Age 24.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxim Zhukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Thijmen Loof

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Zhukov Thijmen Loof

1st Serve In %

—

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

40.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

74.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

42.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Zhukov Thijmen Loof

Break Points Saved %

—

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

71.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxim Zhukov 0 – 0 Thijmen Loof

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Thijmen Loof #1522

Maxim Zhukov #544

7-6 5-7 6-3

7 Aces 24

5 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

46 First Serve Won 49

25 Second Serve Won 23

4 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Maxim Zhukov vs Thijmen Loof — Prediction