ATP tennis predict — Maxim Zhukov vs Kerem Yilmaz

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Maxim Zhukov

Russia

89.14%

Kerem Yilmaz

Turkey

10.86%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.16

Market probability

56.99% / 43.01%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Zhukov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1475 vs 1370), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1464 vs 1413) and more career match wins (16 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1475.2 Elo 1369.7

1464.4 Elo (surface) 1412.9

16 Wins (Challenger) 0

16 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.923 Dominance ratio 0.886

522 Rank 956

21.5 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxim Zhukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Kerem Yilmaz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Zhukov Kerem Yilmaz

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Zhukov Kerem Yilmaz

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxim Zhukov 0 – 0 Kerem Yilmaz

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Kerem Yilmaz #956

Maxim Zhukov #522

7-6 6-7 6-2

4 Aces 7

4 Double Faults 5

109 Service Points 107

64 First Serve In 72

40 First Serve Won 47

19 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Maxim Zhukov vs Kerem Yilmaz — Prediction