ATP tennis predict — Maxim Mrva vs Nicolas Kicker

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

58.71%

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

41.29%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.43

Market probability

61.68% / 38.32%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1621 vs 1593) and a stronger serve (62.7% vs 59.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1621.1 Elo 1593.1

1609.8 Elo (surface) 1626.0

43 Wins (Challenger) 199

28 Wins (surface) 183

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.170 Dominance ratio 1.017

304 Rank 369

19.0 Age 34.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Nicolas Kicker

1st Serve In %

—

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

69.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

40.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Nicolas Kicker

Break Points Saved %

—

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

59.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxim Mrva 0 – 0 Nicolas Kicker

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-16

F

Maxim Mrva #309

Nicolas Kicker #366

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

46 Service Points 45

30 First Serve In 33

11 First Serve Won 20

3 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Maxim Mrva #317

Nicolas Kicker #365

6-4 6-2

5 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 6

67 Service Points 48

32 First Serve In 34

22 First Serve Won 18

16 Second Serve Won 3

4 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 9