ATP tennis predict — Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

53.97%

Nerman Fatic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

46.03%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.48

Market probability

62.31% / 37.69%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1719.8 Elo 1685.4

1737.6 Elo (surface) 1706.7

50 Wins (Challenger) 127

35 Wins (surface) 109

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.112 Dominance ratio 1.050

309 Rank 417

19.0 Age 31.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Nerman Fatic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Nerman Fatic

1st Serve In %

—

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

56.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

35.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Nerman Fatic

Break Points Saved %

—

56.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxim Mrva 0 – 0 Nerman Fatic

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Maxim Mrva #309

Nerman Fatic #417

2-6 6-2 6-4

4 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 2

76 Service Points 74

42 First Serve In 48

25 First Serve Won 29

21 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic — Prediction