ATP tennis predict — Maxim Mrva vs Jan Kumstat

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · QF 15:30

Predicted probability

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

32.89%

Jan Kumstat

Czech Republic

67.11%

Average Odds

1.99 / 1.75

Market probability

46.79% / 53.21%

Why This Prediction?

Jan Kumstat is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1902 vs 1750), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1933 vs 1771) and a stronger serve (66.5% vs 54.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1749.6 Elo 1902.2

1770.6 Elo (surface) 1933.2

52 Wins (Challenger) 27

37 Wins (surface) 22

11 Last 15 form 14

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.997 Dominance ratio 1.098

309 Rank 347

19.0 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Jan Kumstat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 15W–1L · 93.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Jan Kumstat

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Jan Kumstat

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

28.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxim Mrva 0 – 0 Jan Kumstat

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-20

QF

Jan Kumstat #347

Maxim Mrva #309

6-1 7-5

4 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 0

64 Service Points 49

36 First Serve In 21

18 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 18

0 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Maxim Mrva vs Jan Kumstat — Prediction