ATP tennis predict — Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · QF 15:00

Predicted probability

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

62.90%

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

37.10%

Average Odds

2.09 / 1.68

Market probability

44.56% / 55.44%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1670 vs 1646), a stronger return game (44.9% vs 33.5% of return points won) and a stronger serve (62.3% vs 57.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1669.7 Elo 1645.7

1677.5 Elo (surface) 1662.7

47 Wins (Challenger) 97

32 Wins (surface) 77

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.194 Dominance ratio 0.796

317 Rank 174

19.0 Age 29.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Federico Agustin Gomez

1st Serve In %

—

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.3%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Maxim Mrva Federico Agustin Gomez

Break Points Saved %

—

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Maxim Mrva 0 – 0 Federico Agustin Gomez

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-14

QF

Maxim Mrva #317

Federico Agustin Gomez #174

6-2 4-2

1 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 0

46 Service Points 49

26 First Serve In 37

15 First Serve Won 19

15 Second Serve Won 5

3 Break Points Saved 8

4 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Prediction