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Max Wiskandt vs Miguel Damas — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Max Wiskandt

Germany

34.09%

Miguel Damas

Spain

65.91%

Average Odds

2.38  /  1.52

Market probability

38.97%  /  61.03%

Why This Prediction?

Miguel Damas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1591 vs 1497), a higher Elo rating (1593 vs 1490) and a stronger return game (45.5% vs 41.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1490.2 Elo 1592.6
1496.6 Elo (surface) 1591.5
45 Wins (Challenger) 68
12 Wins (surface) 56
7 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.060 Dominance ratio 1.132
388 Rank 349
24.7 Age 26.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Wiskandt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Miguel Damas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Wiskandt Miguel Damas

1st Serve In %

67.2%
67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.3%
53.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%
46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

19.1%
36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%
45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.4%
62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%
63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%
49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%
42.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%
51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.40
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Wiskandt Miguel Damas

Break Points Saved %

36.4%
46.9%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.2%
55.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%
46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Wiskandt and Miguel Damas have never played each other.

Max Wiskandt — Last 10

L L L W L W W L L W

Miguel Damas — Last 10

L W L L W W L W L L