ATP tennis predict — Max Wiskandt vs Andrey Chepelev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Max Wiskandt

Germany

53.55%

Andrey Chepelev

Russia

46.45%

Average Odds

1.99 / 1.74

Market probability

46.65% / 53.35%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1503.4 Elo 1459.6

1517.4 Elo (surface) 1461.4

44 Wins (Challenger) 39

11 Wins (surface) 38

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.060 Dominance ratio 1.084

380 Rank 389

24.6 Age 28.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Wiskandt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Andrey Chepelev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Wiskandt Andrey Chepelev

1st Serve In %

67.2%

67.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.3%

50.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

19.1%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

29.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.3%

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.7%

39.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

56.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Wiskandt Andrey Chepelev

Break Points Saved %

36.4%

30.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

20.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

44.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Wiskandt 0 – 0 Andrey Chepelev

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Max Wiskandt #380

Andrey Chepelev #389

7-6 6-1

4 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 35

8 Second Serve Won 3

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Max Wiskandt vs Andrey Chepelev — Prediction