ATP tennis predict — Max Schoenhaus vs Matteo Martineau

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

68.30%

Matteo Martineau

France

31.70%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.63

Market probability

64.46% / 35.54%

Why This Prediction?

Max Schoenhaus is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1706 vs 1556), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1667 vs 1583) and a stronger return game (38.0% vs 36.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1706.4 Elo 1555.7

1666.5 Elo (surface) 1582.9

15 Wins (Challenger) 150

5 Wins (surface) 84

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.992 Dominance ratio 1.047

292 Rank 281

19.1 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Matteo Martineau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Matteo Martineau

1st Serve In %

60.0%

66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

41.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Matteo Martineau

Break Points Saved %

74.4%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

27.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Schoenhaus 0 – 0 Matteo Martineau

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

Matteo Martineau #281

Max Schoenhaus #292

7-6 6-4

3 Aces 14

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

36 First Serve Won 37

9 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Max Schoenhaus vs Matteo Martineau — Prediction