ATP tennis predict — Max Schoenhaus vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · R16 16:00

Predicted probability

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

36.08%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Brazil

63.92%

Average Odds

1.91 / 1.81

Market probability

48.66% / 51.34%

Why This Prediction?

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1731 vs 1550), a higher Elo rating (1705 vs 1526) and more wins on clay courts (139 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1525.9 Elo 1704.7

1550.2 Elo (surface) 1730.6

10 Wins (Challenger) 141

7 Wins (surface) 139

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.022 Dominance ratio 1.057

312 Rank 277

19.0 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

1st Serve In %

60.0%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

58.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Break Points Saved %

74.4%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

25.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Schoenhaus 0 – 0 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-12

R16

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida #277

Max Schoenhaus #312

6-1 6-3

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 0

49 Service Points 43

35 First Serve In 21

15 First Serve Won 16

7 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Max Schoenhaus vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Prediction