ATP tennis predict — Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig

Challenger Clay Como challenger · QF 17:00

Predicted probability

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

40.97%

Matej Dodig

Croatia

59.03%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.77

Market probability

47.45% / 52.55%

Why This Prediction?

Matej Dodig is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1654 vs 1591), a stronger serve (67.3% vs 61.0% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1677 vs 1618).

Player Comparison

1590.6 Elo 1654.3

1617.5 Elo (surface) 1676.9

13 Wins (Challenger) 79

10 Wins (surface) 59

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.901 Dominance ratio 1.057

318 Rank 254

19.1 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Matej Dodig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Matej Dodig

1st Serve In %

60.0%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Matej Dodig

Break Points Saved %

74.4%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Schoenhaus 0 – 0 Matej Dodig

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Matej Dodig #254

Max Schoenhaus #318

2-6 7-6 6-3

7 Aces 9

4 Double Faults 2

96 Service Points 77

53 First Serve In 54

40 First Serve Won 39

19 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig — Prediction