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Max Schoenhaus vs Marko Topo — Prediction

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

49.25%

Marko Topo

Germany

50.75%

Average Odds

1.44  /  2.42

Market probability

62.69%  /  37.31%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1498.5 Elo 1548.8
1522.1 Elo (surface) 1549.8
9 Wins (Challenger) 72
6 Wins (surface) 56
8 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.082 Dominance ratio 0.936
312 Rank 346
19.0 Age 22.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Marko Topo

1st Serve In %

60.0%
58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%
66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%
45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%
29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%
46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.47
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%
68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%
51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%
48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Marko Topo

Break Points Saved %

74.4%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
55.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Schoenhaus 00 Marko Topo

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-04
5-7 6-3 7-6
10 Aces 13
6 Double Faults 7
94 Service Points 112
57 First Serve In 72
39 First Serve Won 51
19 Second Serve Won 19
4 Break Points Saved 10
8 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.4 Average Odds 1.4

Max Schoenhaus — Last 10

L W W L W W L W L W

Marko Topo — Last 10

L W L L L W L W L W