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Max Schoenhaus vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

55.99%

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

44.01%

Average Odds

1.56  /  2.30

Market probability

59.59%  /  40.41%

Why This Prediction?

Max Schoenhaus is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (64.2% vs 56.2% of service points won), the advantage of playing in his home country and more aces per game (0.24 vs 0.21).

Player Comparison

1523.4 Elo 1599.3
1551.2 Elo (surface) 1610.9
9 Wins (Challenger) 92
6 Wins (surface) 72
9 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.001 Dominance ratio 0.781
310 Rank 191
19.0 Age 29.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Federico Agustin Gomez

1st Serve In %

60.0%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%
72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%
54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.47
0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%
66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%
62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%
47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%
48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Federico Agustin Gomez

Break Points Saved %

74.4%
51.8%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
52.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Schoenhaus 00 Federico Agustin Gomez

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-28
3 Aces 6
4 Double Faults 0
64 Service Points 51
35 First Serve In 40
20 First Serve Won 33
14 Second Serve Won 6
3 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Max Schoenhaus — Last 10

L W W L W W L W L W

Federico Agustin Gomez — Last 10

W W L W L L W W L L