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Max Schoenhaus vs Adhithya Ganesan — Prediction

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

75.04%

Average Odds

1.16  /  4.61

Market probability

79.90%  /  20.10%

Why This Prediction?

Max Schoenhaus is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1671 vs 1427), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1593 vs 1444) and a stronger return game (38.0% vs 36.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1671.5 Elo 1427.0
1593.2 Elo (surface) 1443.9
13 Wins (Challenger) 5
3 Wins (surface) 5
7 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.992 Dominance ratio 0.888
318 Rank 750
19.1 Age 20.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Adhithya Ganesan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Adhithya Ganesan

1st Serve In %

60.0%
62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.6%
52.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%
39.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%
33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%
38.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.47
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%
63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%
64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%
54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%
49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Schoenhaus Adhithya Ganesan

Break Points Saved %

74.4%
35.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
71.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
30.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Schoenhaus 00 Adhithya Ganesan

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Max Schoenhaus #318

Adhithya Ganesan #750

7-6 6-4
6 Aces 6
2 Double Faults 8
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
39 First Serve Won 46
11 Second Serve Won 16
1 Break Points Saved 9
2 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Max Schoenhaus — Last 10

L W W L W W L W L W

Adhithya Ganesan — Last 10

L L W W L L L L W L