ATP tennis predict — Max Purcell vs Cruz Hewitt

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · QF 05:35

Predicted probability

Max Purcell

Australia

48.65%

Cruz Hewitt

Australia

51.35%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.90

Market probability

67.92% / 32.08%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1818.9 Elo 1707.4

1749.1 Elo (surface) 1678.9

159 Wins (Challenger) 10

141 Wins (surface) 9

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.128 Dominance ratio 0.952

803 Rank 354

28.4 Age 17.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Purcell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Cruz Hewitt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Purcell Cruz Hewitt

1st Serve In %

54.3%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.8%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.2%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.3%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Purcell Cruz Hewitt

Break Points Saved %

63.1%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Purcell 0 – 0 Cruz Hewitt

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Max Purcell #803

Cruz Hewitt #354

7-5 6-3

4 Aces 6

7 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 17

16 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Max Purcell vs Cruz Hewitt — Prediction