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Max Purcell vs Blake Bayldon — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:45

Predicted probability

Max Purcell

Australia

89.71%

Blake Bayldon

Australia

10.29%

Average Odds

1.03  /  10.21

Market probability

90.84%  /  9.16%

Why This Prediction?

Max Purcell is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1815 vs 1393), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1751 vs 1421) and more wins on hard courts (40 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1815.2 Elo 1392.6
1750.6 Elo (surface) 1420.7
161 Wins (Challenger) 3
143 Wins (surface) 3
10 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.128 Dominance ratio 0.701
680 Rank -
28.5 Age 27.8
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Purcell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Blake Bayldon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-10-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Purcell Blake Bayldon

1st Serve In %

54.3%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

76.8%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.2%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.74
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.1%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.0%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%
24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%
41.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.69
0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Purcell Blake Bayldon

Break Points Saved %

63.1%
—

Break Points Converted %

37.2%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
58.9%

Break Points Converted %

52.1%
26.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Purcell and Blake Bayldon have never played each other.

Max Purcell — Last 10

W L W W W L W W L W

Blake Bayldon — Last 10

W L L L L W W L L L