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Max Purcell vs Blaise Bicknell — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 00:45

Predicted probability

Max Purcell

Australia

33.12%

Blaise Bicknell

Jamaica

66.88%

Average Odds

1.49  /  2.50

Market probability

62.66%  /  37.34%

Why This Prediction?

Blaise Bicknell is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (44.6% vs 30.2% of return points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1459.1 Elo 1462.9
1459.1 Elo (surface) 1452.2
154 Wins (Challenger) 51
136 Wins (surface) 34
11 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.067 Dominance ratio 1.096
1046 Rank 379
28.4 Age 24.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Purcell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Blaise Bicknell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Purcell Blaise Bicknell

1st Serve In %

54.3%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.8%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%
59.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%
37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.2%
63.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.74
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.3%
63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%
71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.3%
56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%
30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.67
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Purcell Blaise Bicknell

Break Points Saved %

63.1%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%
42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.0%
70.9%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%
40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Purcell 00 Blaise Bicknell

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18
6-4 6-7 6-3
9 Aces 9
3 Double Faults 3
107 Service Points 96
79 First Serve In 60
57 First Serve Won 49
14 Second Serve Won 21
5 Break Points Saved 3
7 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Max Purcell — Last 10

L W W W L W W L W L

Blaise Bicknell — Last 10

L L L L L L L W L L