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Max Hans Rehberg vs Saba Purtseladze — Prediction

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · R16 10:30

Predicted probability

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

84.54%

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

15.46%

Average Odds

1.04  /  9.39

Market probability

90.03%  /  9.97%

Why This Prediction?

Max Hans Rehberg is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1667 vs 1368), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1634 vs 1284) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 59.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1667.5 Elo 1367.8
1634.4 Elo (surface) 1283.6
88 Wins (Challenger) 28
43 Wins (surface) 4
8 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.019 Dominance ratio 0.910
332 Rank 659
22.9 Age 25.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Saba Purtseladze

1st Serve In %

67.5%
59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%
65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%
45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%
22.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%
45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.23
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%
69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%
43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%
25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%
56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Saba Purtseladze

Break Points Saved %

47.5%
52.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%
24.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
59.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%
44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Hans Rehberg 00 Saba Purtseladze

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-13
6-1 5-7 7-5
2 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 11
97 Service Points 117
59 First Serve In 58
35 First Serve Won 42
16 Second Serve Won 28
6 Break Points Saved 9
12 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
9.4 Average Odds 1.0

Max Hans Rehberg — Last 10

L L L W W L W L W L

Saba Purtseladze — Last 10

L L L L W W L W L W