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Max Hans Rehberg vs Mili Poljicak — Prediction

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

64.42%

Mili Poljicak

Croatia

35.58%

Average Odds

1.51  /  2.44

Market probability

61.77%  /  38.23%

Why This Prediction?

Max Hans Rehberg is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1695 vs 1493), a stronger return game (38.4% vs 35.4% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (40 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1680.0 Elo 1695.5
1694.7 Elo (surface) 1493.4
91 Wins (Challenger) 53
40 Wins (surface) 4
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.037 Dominance ratio 1.074
274 Rank 293
23.1 Age 22.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Mili Poljicak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Mili Poljicak

1st Serve In %

67.5%
53.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%
74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%
45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%
27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%
42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.23
0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%
57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%
68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%
61.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.2%
26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%
50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Mili Poljicak

Break Points Saved %

47.5%
65.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%
27.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%
55.1%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Hans Rehberg and Mili Poljicak have never played each other.

Max Hans Rehberg — Last 10

W L L L W W L W L W

Mili Poljicak — Last 10

W L W L L L L W W W