ATP tennis predict — Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · R16 14:00

Predicted probability

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

59.73%

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

40.27%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.11

Market probability

55.82% / 44.18%

Why This Prediction?

Max Hans Rehberg is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1731 vs 1630), a stronger serve (63.0% vs 62.0% of service points won) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1714.2 Elo 1681.4

1730.9 Elo (surface) 1630.4

93 Wins (Challenger) 106

42 Wins (surface) 30

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.037 Dominance ratio 0.929

280 Rank 288

23.1 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–6L · 64.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Hynek Barton

1st Serve In %

67.5%

53.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

59.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Hynek Barton

Break Points Saved %

47.5%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

55.2%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Hans Rehberg 1 – 0 Hynek Barton

Hard Helsinki CH · 2024-11-04

Q2

Max Hans Rehberg #332

Hynek Barton #411

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 1

54 Service Points 49

39 First Serve In 30

31 First Serve Won 23

9 Second Serve Won 5

2 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Max Hans Rehberg vs Hynek Barton — Prediction