ATP tennis predict — Max Hans Rehberg vs Diego Dedura Palomero

Challenger Clay Hamburg challenger · 1. round 12:40

Predicted probability

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

29.72%

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

70.28%

Average Odds

1.92 / 1.80

Market probability

48.39% / 51.61%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1758 vs 1606), a higher Elo rating (1741 vs 1647) and a stronger return game (36.8% vs 34.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1647.4 Elo 1740.9

1605.8 Elo (surface) 1757.8

87 Wins (Challenger) 43

42 Wins (surface) 39

8 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.089 Dominance ratio 0.928

332 Rank 193

22.9 Age 18.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Diego Dedura Palomero

1st Serve In %

67.5%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

37.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.05

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Diego Dedura Palomero

Break Points Saved %

47.5%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

28.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Hans Rehberg 1 – 0 Diego Dedura Palomero

Clay Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Max Hans Rehberg #332

Diego Dedura Palomero #193

6-1 6-4

0 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 0

56 Service Points 44

44 First Serve In 30

18 First Serve Won 19

4 Second Serve Won 7

7 Break Points Saved 0

14 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Szczecin CH · 2024-09-09

Q1

Max Hans Rehberg #356

Diego Dedura Palomero #779

6-3 3-6 6-2

1 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 0

78 Service Points 85

45 First Serve In 64

29 First Serve Won 32

17 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Max Hans Rehberg vs Diego Dedura Palomero — Prediction