ATP tennis predict — Max Hans Rehberg vs Alexander Donski

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

60.68%

Alexander Donski

Bulgaria

39.32%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.83

Market probability

75.69% / 24.31%

Why This Prediction?

Max Hans Rehberg is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1586), a stronger return game (37.0% vs 36.2% of return points won) and more wins on clay courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1608.0 Elo 1585.6

1540.1 Elo (surface) 1521.4

83 Wins (Challenger) 38

38 Wins (surface) 23

8 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.126 Dominance ratio 1.075

409 Rank 549

22.8 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Alexander Donski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Alexander Donski

1st Serve In %

67.5%

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.8%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%

20.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

40.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

24.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Hans Rehberg Alexander Donski

Break Points Saved %

47.5%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

20.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

36.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Hans Rehberg 1 – 0 Alexander Donski

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Max Hans Rehberg #409

Alexander Donski #549

6-4 6-3

5 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 2

72 Service Points 47

38 First Serve In 29

23 First Serve Won 23

19 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Clay Poznan challenger · 2026-06-15

qualification - round of 16

Max Hans Rehberg #526

Alexander Donski #538

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 1

56 Service Points 46

30 First Serve In 31

22 First Serve Won 29

9 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

4 Winners 3

7 Unforced Errors 1

- Average Odds -

Max Hans Rehberg vs Alexander Donski — Prediction