ATP tennis predict — Max Dahlin vs Daniel Elahi Galan

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Max Dahlin

Sweden

22.88%

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

77.12%

Average Odds

3.17 / 1.32

Market probability

29.40% / 70.60%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1688 vs 1566), more wins on clay courts (189 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1686 vs 1572).

Player Comparison

1566.3 Elo 1687.8

1572.4 Elo (surface) 1685.7

2 Wins (Challenger) 229

2 Wins (surface) 189

2 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.847 Dominance ratio 1.241

1378 Rank 290

20.6 Age 30.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Dahlin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Dahlin Daniel Elahi Galan

1st Serve In %

67.5%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.3%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.3%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Dahlin Daniel Elahi Galan

Break Points Saved %

76.5%

51.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

49.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Dahlin 0 – 0 Daniel Elahi Galan

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-31

QF

Max Dahlin #1378

Daniel Elahi Galan #290

7-6 3-6 7-5

19 Aces 8

3 Double Faults 0

93 Service Points 117

61 First Serve In 72

51 First Serve Won 52

18 Second Serve Won 28

0 Break Points Saved 6

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.2 Average Odds 1.3

Max Dahlin vs Daniel Elahi Galan — Prediction