ATP tennis predict — Max Basing vs Mili Poljicak

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Max Basing

Great Britain

71.92%

Mili Poljicak

Croatia

28.08%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.02

Market probability

56.11% / 43.89%

Why This Prediction?

Max Basing is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1729 vs 1388), a higher Elo rating (1749 vs 1672) and a stronger return game (39.0% vs 35.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1749.0 Elo 1672.2

1729.5 Elo (surface) 1388.2

27 Wins (Challenger) 51

24 Wins (surface) 2

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.984 Dominance ratio 1.074

241 Rank 291

24.0 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Mili Poljicak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Mili Poljicak

1st Serve In %

64.8%

53.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.8%

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

58.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Mili Poljicak

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

27.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Basing and Mili Poljicak have never played each other.

Max Basing vs Mili Poljicak — Prediction