ATP tennis predict — Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · QF 10:00

Predicted probability

Max Basing

Great Britain

33.47%

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

66.53%

Average Odds

2.86 / 1.38

Market probability

32.55% / 67.45%

Why This Prediction?

Edas Butvilas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1766 vs 1618), a higher Elo rating (1750 vs 1653) and more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1653.3 Elo 1749.9

1618.4 Elo (surface) 1765.5

24 Wins (Challenger) 89

21 Wins (surface) 68

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.984 Dominance ratio 0.881

259 Rank 195

23.9 Age 22.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Edas Butvilas

1st Serve In %

64.8%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.8%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Edas Butvilas

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Basing 0 – 0 Edas Butvilas

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Max Basing #259

Edas Butvilas #195

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 28

14 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas — Prediction