ATP tennis predict — Max Basing vs Atakan Karahan

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Max Basing

Great Britain

84.14%

Atakan Karahan

Turkey

15.86%

Average Odds

1.02 / 12.48

Market probability

92.44% / 7.56%

Why This Prediction?

Max Basing is the favorite because he has more career match wins (22 vs 0), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1566 vs 1561) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1569.5 Elo 1561.0

1566.1 Elo (surface) 1561.0

22 Wins (Challenger) 0

19 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.931 Dominance ratio 0.931

259 Rank -

23.9 Age 20.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Atakan Karahan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Atakan Karahan

1st Serve In %

64.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.18

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%

36.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

50.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

15.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

30.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.67

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Atakan Karahan

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Basing 0 – 0 Atakan Karahan

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Max Basing #259

Atakan Karahan #-

6-1 6-0

0 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 4

39 Service Points 44

26 First Serve In 16

22 First Serve Won 8

9 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 12.5

Max Basing vs Atakan Karahan — Prediction