ATP tennis predict — Max Basing vs Alec Deckers

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Max Basing

Great Britain

44.61%

Alec Deckers

Netherlands

55.39%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.59

Market probability

63.95% / 36.05%

Why This Prediction?

Alec Deckers is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (65.2% vs 57.8% of service points won), more aces per game (0.37 vs 0.09) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1595.7 Elo 1590.5

1591.6 Elo (surface) 1581.8

21 Wins (Challenger) 14

18 Wins (surface) 8

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.857 Dominance ratio 0.897

266 Rank 558

23.9 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Alec Deckers

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Alec Deckers

1st Serve In %

64.8%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.0%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

21.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.8%

41.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.85

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Basing Alec Deckers

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

68.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Basing 0 – 0 Alec Deckers

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Max Basing #266

Alec Deckers #558

7-6 0-6 6-4

1 Aces 9

0 Double Faults 3

93 Service Points 80

63 First Serve In 45

42 First Serve Won 34

17 Second Serve Won 19

6 Break Points Saved 2

10 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Max Basing vs Alec Deckers — Prediction