ATP tennis predict — Max Alcala Gurri vs Pol Martin Tiffon

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · QF 09:00

Predicted probability

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

62.98%

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

37.02%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.45

Market probability

62.34% / 37.66%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1779 vs 1690), a higher Elo rating (1772 vs 1723) and better recent form (11 wins in his last 15 matches vs 10).

Player Comparison

1772.2 Elo 1722.8

1778.6 Elo (surface) 1689.6

59 Wins (Challenger) 76

59 Wins (surface) 59

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.205 Dominance ratio 1.111

163 Rank 215

24.0 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Pol Martin Tiffon

1st Serve In %

65.1%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Pol Martin Tiffon

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri and Pol Martin Tiffon have never played each other.

Max Alcala Gurri vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Prediction