ATP tennis predict — Max Alcala Gurri vs Martin Krumich

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

60.14%

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

39.86%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.31

Market probability

59.69% / 40.31%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1746 vs 1637), a higher Elo rating (1727 vs 1631) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 9).

Player Comparison

1726.6 Elo 1631.4

1745.6 Elo (surface) 1637.1

52 Wins (Challenger) 69

52 Wins (surface) 57

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.079 Dominance ratio 1.081

181 Rank 260

23.9 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Martin Krumich

1st Serve In %

65.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Martin Krumich

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 0 Martin Krumich

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Max Alcala Gurri #181

Martin Krumich #260

6-3 6-7 6-2

3 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 1

91 Service Points 110

59 First Serve In 56

35 First Serve Won 35

18 Second Serve Won 19

5 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Max Alcala Gurri vs Martin Krumich — Prediction