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Max Alcala Gurri vs Jonas Forejtek — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · F 11:00

Predicted probability

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

76.71%

Jonas Forejtek

Czech Republic

23.29%

Average Odds

1.40  /  2.76

Market probability

66.35%  /  33.65%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1806 vs 1637), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1812 vs 1622) and better recent form (11 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1805.9 Elo 1636.8
1811.9 Elo (surface) 1621.9
61 Wins (Challenger) 128
61 Wins (surface) 79
11 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.205 Dominance ratio 1.056
163 Rank 433
24.0 Age 25.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–4L · 76.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Jonas Forejtek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Jonas Forejtek

1st Serve In %

65.1%
61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%
68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%
44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
18.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.08
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.4%
65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%
64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

27.6%
44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%
36.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
59.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.09
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Jonas Forejtek

Break Points Saved %

45.0%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%
26.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.4%
63.2%

Break Points Converted %

56.8%
49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri and Jonas Forejtek have never played each other.

Max Alcala Gurri — Last 10

W W W W L W W W L W

Jonas Forejtek — Last 10

W W W W L L L W L L