ATP tennis predict — Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva

Challenger Clay Cordenons challenger · SF

Predicted probability

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

61.36%

Gonzalo Villanueva

Argentina

38.64%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.94

Market probability

68.37% / 31.63%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1712 vs 1653) and a higher Elo rating (1694 vs 1638).

Player Comparison

1693.6 Elo 1638.3

1712.1 Elo (surface) 1653.2

50 Wins (Challenger) 181

50 Wins (surface) 171

11 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.039 Dominance ratio 1.334

229 Rank 352

23.8 Age 31.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Gonzalo Villanueva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Gonzalo Villanueva

1st Serve In %

65.1%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%

63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.51

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%

57.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

38.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

57.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Gonzalo Villanueva

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 0 Gonzalo Villanueva

Clay Cordenons challenger · 2026-07-18

SF

Max Alcala Gurri #229

Gonzalo Villanueva #352

4-6 7-5 6-2

0 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 2

90 Service Points 111

64 First Serve In 74

40 First Serve Won 43

16 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 7

11 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva — Prediction