ATP tennis predict — Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · QF 20:15

Predicted probability

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

55.61%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Argentina

44.39%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.56

Market probability

63.37% / 36.63%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1762 vs 1666), a higher Elo rating (1749 vs 1670) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1748.7 Elo 1670.0

1762.3 Elo (surface) 1665.6

56 Wins (Challenger) 164

56 Wins (surface) 147

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.205 Dominance ratio 1.288

177 Rank 223

24.0 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Genaro Alberto Olivieri

1st Serve In %

65.1%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

36.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

70.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

58.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

51.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 0 Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Max Alcala Gurri #177

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #223

6-1 5-7 6-3

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

48 First Serve Won 35

7 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 8

11 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Max Alcala Gurri vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Prediction