ATP tennis predict — Max Alcala Gurri vs Eliakim Coulibaly

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

76.75%

Eliakim Coulibaly

Ivory Coast

23.25%

Average Odds

1.13 / 5.10

Market probability

81.86% / 18.14%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1757 vs 1544), a higher Elo rating (1747 vs 1614) and a stronger return game (46.2% vs 35.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1746.7 Elo 1613.7

1757.0 Elo (surface) 1544.0

57 Wins (Challenger) 52

57 Wins (surface) 10

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.205 Dominance ratio 0.850

163 Rank 369

24.0 Age 24.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Eliakim Coulibaly

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Eliakim Coulibaly

1st Serve In %

65.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.08

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

53.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Eliakim Coulibaly

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 0 Eliakim Coulibaly

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-21

1. round

Max Alcala Gurri #163

Eliakim Coulibaly #369

6-4 6-2

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

30 First Serve Won 19

5 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.1

Max Alcala Gurri vs Eliakim Coulibaly — Prediction