ATP tennis predict — Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · SF 13:00

Predicted probability

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

53.26%

Carlos Taberner

Spain

46.74%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.18

Market probability

57.22% / 42.78%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1788.7 Elo 1752.6

1793.2 Elo (surface) 1782.4

60 Wins (Challenger) 259

60 Wins (surface) 243

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.205 Dominance ratio 1.091

163 Rank 425

24.0 Age 29.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–4L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Carlos Taberner

1st Serve In %

65.1%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.4%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

27.6%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.6%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Carlos Taberner

Break Points Saved %

45.0%

47.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%

50.6%

Break Points Converted %

56.1%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 1 Carlos Taberner

Clay Cordenons CH · 2025-08-04

R16

Carlos Taberner #83

Max Alcala Gurri #431

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 4

67 Service Points 74

37 First Serve In 51

22 First Serve Won 25

15 Second Serve Won 6

5 Break Points Saved 9

8 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Taberner — Prediction