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Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Prediction

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.29  /  3.42

Market probability

72.61%  /  27.39%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1813 vs 1608), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1819 vs 1579) and a stronger return game (46.2% vs 36.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1813.4 Elo 1607.9
1818.9 Elo (surface) 1579.1
64 Wins (Challenger) 35
64 Wins (surface) 23
11 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 1
1.205 Dominance ratio 0.958
138 Rank 375
24.1 Age 21.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–5L · 76.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

34 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Alejo Sanchez Quilez

1st Serve In %

65.1%
65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.3%
62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%
47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
36.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.08
0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52
0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—
60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
53.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.05
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Max Alcala Gurri Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Break Points Saved %

45.0%
33.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%
66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%
59.2%

Break Points Converted %

52.9%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 1 Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Clay Seville CH · 2024-09-02
6-2 4-6 7-6(5)
3 Aces 2
6 Double Faults 11
117 Service Points 108
66 First Serve In 74
44 First Serve Won 50
23 Second Serve Won 10
8 Break Points Saved 10
13 Break Points Faced 16
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Max Alcala Gurri — Last 10

L W W W W W W W L W

Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Last 10

W W L L L W L L L W