ATP tennis predict — Matyas Fuele vs Federico Bondioli

Challenger Clay Cordenons challenger · SF

Predicted probability

Matyas Fuele

Hungary

44.40%

Federico Bondioli

Italy

55.60%

Average Odds

3.25 / 1.31

Market probability

28.73% / 71.27%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Bondioli is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (33 vs 5), the advantage of playing in his home country and better recent form (1 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1716.2 Elo 1609.0

1734.9 Elo (surface) 1632.6

5 Wins (Challenger) 34

5 Wins (surface) 33

5 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.861 Dominance ratio 0.922

704 Rank 346

27.6 Age 21.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matyas Fuele

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Federico Bondioli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matyas Fuele Federico Bondioli

1st Serve In %

—

69.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

41.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matyas Fuele Federico Bondioli

Break Points Saved %

—

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matyas Fuele 0 – 0 Federico Bondioli

Clay Cordenons challenger · 2026-07-18

SF

Federico Bondioli #346

Matyas Fuele #704

6-2 6-4

1 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 60

34 First Serve In 40

19 First Serve Won 24

12 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Matyas Fuele vs Federico Bondioli — Prediction