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Matyas Cerny vs Dimitris Sakellaridis — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Matyas Cerny

Czech Republic

48.28%

Average Odds

1.51  /  2.32

Market probability

60.57%  /  39.43%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1468.0 Elo 1496.1
1461.6 Elo (surface) 1516.4
13 Wins (Challenger) 10
12 Wins (surface) 7
6 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.156 Dominance ratio 1.078
719 Rank 557
25.0 Age 20.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matyas Cerny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matyas Cerny Dimitris Sakellaridis

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.1%
67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%
65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
60.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.1%
34.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%
66.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matyas Cerny Dimitris Sakellaridis

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

42.9%
48.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%
45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matyas Cerny and Dimitris Sakellaridis have never played each other.

Matyas Cerny — Last 10

W L W L W L L L L L

Dimitris Sakellaridis — Last 10

W L W L W L W L W L