ATP tennis predict — Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak

ATP Hard Hangzhou · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Mattia Bellucci

Italy

50.94%

Kamil Majchrzak

Poland

49.06%

Average Odds

2.21 / 1.65

Market probability

42.75% / 57.25%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1874.8 Elo 1910.6

1811.8 Elo (surface) 1810.6

66 Wins 107

42 Wins (surface) 67

8 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.936 Dominance ratio 1.113

88 Rank 73

25.3 Age 30.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Mattia Bellucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kamil Majchrzak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mattia Bellucci Kamil Majchrzak

1st Serve In %

59.9%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.7%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Mattia Bellucci Kamil Majchrzak

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

31.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Mattia Bellucci 1 – 0 Kamil Majchrzak

Hard Us Open · 2024-08-26

Q3

Mattia Bellucci #101

Kamil Majchrzak #167

6-3 6-3

5 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 0

48 Service Points 46

28 First Serve In 25

20 First Serve Won 15

14 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak — Prediction