ATP tennis predict — Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · QF 16:30

Predicted probability

Matthew William Donald

Czech Republic

51.77%

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

48.23%

Average Odds

2.72 / 1.42

Market probability

34.30% / 65.70%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1667.3 Elo 1680.0

1660.2 Elo (surface) 1667.8

19 Wins (Challenger) 77

16 Wins (surface) 65

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.766 Dominance ratio 0.793

460 Rank 254

21.9 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matthew William Donald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–7L · 61.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew William Donald Martin Krumich

1st Serve In %

—

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

56.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

37.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew William Donald Martin Krumich

Break Points Saved %

—

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.0%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

14.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matthew William Donald 0 – 1 Martin Krumich

Hard Koblenz CH · 2026-02-02

R32

Martin Krumich #339

Matthew William Donald #601

6-4 7-5

6 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

75 Service Points 65

45 First Serve In 36

31 First Serve Won 25

16 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich — Prediction