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Matthew William Donald vs Giorgio Tabacco — Prediction

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Matthew William Donald

Czech Republic

60.15%

Giorgio Tabacco

Italy

39.85%

Average Odds

1.30  /  3.12

Market probability

70.59%  /  29.41%

Why This Prediction?

Matthew William Donald is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1540 vs 1459), a higher Elo rating (1537 vs 1462) and a stronger return game (39.9% vs 36.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1537.0 Elo 1461.8
1539.9 Elo (surface) 1458.9
12 Wins (Challenger) 9
9 Wins (surface) 9
9 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.879 Dominance ratio 0.814
461 Rank 678
21.8 Age 23.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matthew William Donald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Giorgio Tabacco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew William Donald Giorgio Tabacco

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.9%
57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%
66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%
30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew William Donald Giorgio Tabacco

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%
47.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%
63.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matthew William Donald 00 Giorgio Tabacco

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Matthew William Donald #461

Giorgio Tabacco #678

4-6 6-1 7-5
0 Aces 8
9 Double Faults 4
91 Service Points 86
51 First Serve In 44
34 First Serve Won 34
22 Second Serve Won 17
1 Break Points Saved 2
4 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Matthew William Donald — Last 10

L W L L W L W L W L

Giorgio Tabacco — Last 10

L W W L L L W L W W