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Matthew William Donald vs Carlos Cordoba — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Matthew William Donald

Czech Republic

87.14%

Carlos Cordoba

Spain

12.86%

Average Odds

1.26  /  3.34

Market probability

72.61%  /  27.39%

Why This Prediction?

Matthew William Donald is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1539 vs 1500), more career match wins (15 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating (1560 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1559.8 Elo 1500
1539.2 Elo (surface) 1500
15 Wins (Challenger) 0
12 Wins (surface) 0
7 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.766 Dominance ratio 0.766
468 Rank 829
21.9 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matthew William Donald

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Carlos Cordoba

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew William Donald Carlos Cordoba

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.9%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.22
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew William Donald Carlos Cordoba

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%
—

Break Points Converted %

41.8%
—

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matthew William Donald and Carlos Cordoba have never played each other.

Matthew William Donald — Last 10

L W L L W L W L W L

Carlos Cordoba — Last 0

No recent matches found.