ATP tennis predict — Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cui

Challenger Hard Lincoln challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Matthew Forbes

USA

43.27%

Jie Cui

China

56.73%

Average Odds

2.02 / 1.73

Market probability

46.13% / 53.87%

Why This Prediction?

Jie Cui is the favorite because he has more career match wins (49 vs 3), more wins on hard courts (48 vs 3) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.23).

Player Comparison

1560.6 Elo 1548.4

1560.9 Elo (surface) 1544.1

3 Wins (Challenger) 49

3 Wins (surface) 48

3 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.950 Dominance ratio 0.939

939 Rank 470

20.3 Age 28.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matthew Forbes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Jie Cui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Forbes Jie Cui

1st Serve In %

65.2%

65.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.6%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.5%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.7%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.44

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Forbes Jie Cui

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

51.1%

Break Points Converted %

18.2%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matthew Forbes 0 – 0 Jie Cui

Hard Lincoln challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Matthew Forbes #939

Jie Cui #470

6-7 7-6 6-3

11 Aces 11

8 Double Faults 3

98 Service Points 115

64 First Serve In 68

47 First Serve Won 49

25 Second Serve Won 17

0 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Matthew Forbes vs Jie Cui — Prediction