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Matthew Dellavedova vs Grigoriy Lomakin — Prediction

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 1. round 05:10

Predicted probability

Matthew Dellavedova

Australia

68.95%

Grigoriy Lomakin

Kazakhstan

31.05%

Average Odds

1.05  /  8.77

Market probability

89.31%  /  10.69%

Why This Prediction?

Matthew Dellavedova is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1425 vs 1356), more wins on hard courts (14 vs 13) and a stronger return game (37.5% vs 33.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1425.2 Elo 1355.8
1398.7 Elo (surface) 1400.9
34 Wins (Challenger) 15
14 Wins (surface) 13
5 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.984 Dominance ratio 0.832
268 Rank 879
26.3 Age 28.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matthew Dellavedova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Grigoriy Lomakin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Dellavedova Grigoriy Lomakin

1st Serve In %

74.4%
74.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.3%
60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%
12.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%
33.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

74.4%
66.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%
66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%
47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%
28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%
48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Dellavedova Grigoriy Lomakin

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
25.0%

Break Points Converted %

61.5%
0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%
54.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%
48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matthew Dellavedova 00 Grigoriy Lomakin

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-15
4-6 6-3 6-3
3 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
47 First Serve Won 41
8 Second Serve Won 11
2 Break Points Saved 5
4 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 8.8

Matthew Dellavedova — Last 10

L L W W L L W L L W

Grigoriy Lomakin — Last 10

L W W L W W L L W L