ATP tennis predict — Matthew Dellavedova vs Enzo Aguiard

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · R16 08:35

Predicted probability

Matthew Dellavedova

Australia

33.01%

Enzo Aguiard

Australia

66.99%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.14

Market probability

56.46% / 43.54%

Why This Prediction?

Enzo Aguiard is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1642 vs 1423), a higher Elo rating (1644 vs 1441) and a stronger serve (65.5% vs 61.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1440.8 Elo 1644.3

1423.5 Elo (surface) 1642.0

35 Wins (Challenger) 12

15 Wins (surface) 12

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.984 Dominance ratio 1.015

268 Rank 430

26.3 Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matthew Dellavedova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Enzo Aguiard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Dellavedova Enzo Aguiard

1st Serve In %

74.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

61.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.22

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

74.4%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Dellavedova Enzo Aguiard

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

61.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matthew Dellavedova 0 – 0 Enzo Aguiard

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Matthew Dellavedova #268

Enzo Aguiard #430

6-3 6-1

1 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 13

11 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Matthew Dellavedova vs Enzo Aguiard — Prediction