ATP tennis predict — Matthew Dellavedova vs Andre Ilagan

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 05:00

Predicted probability

Matthew Dellavedova

Australia

19.08%

Andre Ilagan

USA

80.92%

Average Odds

2.57 / 1.45

Market probability

36.07% / 63.93%

Why This Prediction?

Andre Ilagan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1732 vs 1445), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1708 vs 1431) and more wins on hard courts (80 vs 16).

Player Comparison

1444.8 Elo 1732.4

1431.4 Elo (surface) 1707.9

36 Wins (Challenger) 83

16 Wins (surface) 80

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.984 Dominance ratio 1.075

278 Rank 195

26.3 Age 25.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matthew Dellavedova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Dellavedova Andre Ilagan

1st Serve In %

74.4%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.3%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

74.4%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matthew Dellavedova Andre Ilagan

Break Points Saved %

54.5%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

61.5%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

53.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matthew Dellavedova 0 – 1 Andre Ilagan

Hard Nonthaburi 2 CH · 2026-01-12

Q1

Andre Ilagan #352

Matthew Dellavedova #518

6-3 6-0

2 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 1

37 Service Points 40

24 First Serve In 27

21 First Serve Won 10

9 Second Serve Won 5

1 Break Points Saved 0

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Matthew Dellavedova vs Andre Ilagan — Prediction