ATP tennis predict — Matteo Sciahbasi vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Matteo Sciahbasi

Italy

10.52%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

89.48%

Average Odds

3.15 / 1.29

Market probability

29.05% / 70.95%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1588 vs 1441), a higher Elo rating (1582 vs 1435) and more wins on clay courts (16 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1435.2 Elo 1582.2

1440.7 Elo (surface) 1588.1

0 Wins (Challenger) 16

0 Wins (surface) 16

0 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.381 Dominance ratio 0.960

922 Rank 438

None Age 21.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matteo Sciahbasi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Sciahbasi Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

—

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

71.2%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.5%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

64.7%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.8%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

69.0%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Sciahbasi Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

—

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

100.0%

53.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matteo Sciahbasi and Juan Cruz Martin Manzano have never played each other.

Matteo Sciahbasi vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction