ATP tennis predict — Matteo Martineau vs Max Schoenhaus

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Matteo Martineau

France

38.11%

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

61.89%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.53

Market probability

39.53% / 60.47%

Why This Prediction?

Max Schoenhaus is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1667 vs 1585), fewer double faults per game (0.16 vs 0.22) and a stronger return game (37.3% vs 29.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1585.1 Elo 1666.9

1610.1 Elo (surface) 1609.4

154 Wins (Challenger) 15

88 Wins (surface) 5

7 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.047 Dominance ratio 0.992

272 Rank 293

27.7 Age 19.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matteo Martineau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Martineau Max Schoenhaus

1st Serve In %

66.8%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.6%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Martineau Max Schoenhaus

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

74.4%

Break Points Converted %

27.7%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matteo Martineau 1 – 0 Max Schoenhaus

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

Matteo Martineau #281

Max Schoenhaus #292

7-6 6-4

3 Aces 14

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

36 First Serve Won 37

9 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Matteo Martineau vs Max Schoenhaus — Prediction