ATP tennis predict — Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Matteo Martineau

France

47.25%

Daniel Masur

Germany

52.75%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.83

Market probability

49.86% / 50.14%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1604.3 Elo 1636.9

1637.5 Elo (surface) 1645.5

154 Wins (Challenger) 222

88 Wins (surface) 141

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.047 Dominance ratio 1.034

276 Rank 406

27.7 Age 31.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Matteo Martineau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Martineau Daniel Masur

1st Serve In %

66.8%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.6%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.4%

43.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.8%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Matteo Martineau Daniel Masur

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

27.7%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.5%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

30.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Matteo Martineau 0 – 1 Daniel Masur

Hard Cherbourg CH · 2017-02-13

Q2

Daniel Masur #213

Matteo Martineau #1188

6-4 6-1

4 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

42 Service Points 56

32 First Serve In 35

26 First Serve Won 21

6 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur — Prediction